Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Nico Hoerner

Chicago Cubs · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.98
Edge
-2.8%
Trending splitsvs RHP 60%(40)
Last 30
67%20/30 over 0.5
Window avg
0.87
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
70%
62/89
Avg1.09
StreakW4

Parlay pairs — when Nico Hoerner clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Carson Kelly o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 57% · n=131 · -183 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 30 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs OAK06/021vs OAK06/031vs OAK06/040vs SF06/050vs SF06/061vs SF06/071@ COL06/091@ COL06/101@ COL06/110@ SF06/120@ SF06/130vs COL06/150vs COL06/161vs COL06/173vs TOR06/190vs TOR06/201@ NYM06/233@ NYM06/241@ NYM06/240@ NYM06/250@ MIL06/262@ MIL06/272@ MIL06/281vs SD06/291vs SD06/300vs SD07/011vs STL07/031vs STL07/041vs STL07/051@ BAL07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-230+170
BetOnline0.5-233+175

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs BAL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Miguel Amaya CHC07/072
Dansby Swanson CHC07/072
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC07/072
Alex Bregman CHC07/072
Michael Conforto CHC07/071
Seiya Suzuki CHC07/070
Michael Busch CHC07/070
Ian Happ CHC07/070
Tyler Stephenson CIN07/052
Spencer Steer CIN07/051
Edwin Arroyo CIN07/051
Sal Stewart CIN07/051
Noelvi Marte CIN07/050
TJ Friedl CIN07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.385.333.500.458.396.2861.000.652.250
Exit Velo
81.6791.6287.9389.2491.4988.3190.0293.3885.87
AVG
.231.242.389.333.250.179.571.478.219
onBasePercentage
.231.242.389.320.250.207.571.458.229
OPS
.615.576.889.760.646.4831.5711.083.457