Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.26
Edge
-4.5%Trending splitsvs RHP 60%(40)
Last 20
60%12/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
71%
32/45
Avg1.38
StreakW3
Parlay pairs — when Nico Hoerner clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 67% · n=131 · -183 DraftKings
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 61% · n=155 · -147 DraftKings
Carson Kelly o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=70 · -183 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 0.5
home only · official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +146 | -196 |
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +146 | -192 |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +145 | -190 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovada
League vs BAL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Alex Bregman CHC | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Miguel Amaya CHC | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Dansby Swanson CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Michael Conforto CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Michael Busch CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Seiya Suzuki CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ian Happ CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Spencer Steer CIN | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Tyler Stephenson CIN | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Sal Stewart CIN | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Edwin Arroyo CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Eugenio Suárez CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| TJ Friedl CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS