Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.98
Edge
-2.8%Trending splitsvs RHP 60%(40)
Last 305
70%215/305 over 0.5
Window avg
1.04
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
68%
45/66
Avg1.04
StreakW3
Parlay pairs — when Nico Hoerner clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Carson Kelly o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 57% · n=131 · -183 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 305 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKings
League vs BAL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Alex Bregman CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Dansby Swanson CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Miguel Amaya CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Michael Conforto CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Michael Busch CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ian Happ CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Seiya Suzuki CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Stephenson CIN | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Sal Stewart CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Edwin Arroyo CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Spencer Steer CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Eugenio Suárez CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| TJ Friedl CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS