Dansby Swanson

Chicago Cubs · SS · Bats R

Tonight's line

0.5

Model proj

0.30

Edge

—

Batter Strikeouts Hits Hits + Runs + RBIs Home Runs RBIs Runs Scored Stolen Bases Total Bases Walks

Last30

Trending splits

Last 30

13%4/30 over 0.5

Window avg

0.20

Median

0.0

20%

1/5

L10

10%

1/10

L20

20%

4/20

2026

18%

10/55

Avg0.16

StreakL4

Home Runs — last 30 vs 0.5

official box scores

Parlay pairs — when Dansby Swanson clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too

Ian Happ o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 81% · base 62% · n=48 · -166 DraftKings

Carson Kelly o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 78% · base 57% · n=23 · -158 DraftKings

Carson Kelly o0.5 Total Bases

hits when he does 78% · base 57% · n=23 · -149 BetOnline

Nico Hoerner o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 78% · base 71% · n=50 · -213 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

0.5

• = main line. Alt ladders load in the hour before first pitch.

Book	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Caesars	+370	—

Home Runs · best price bolded · odds refresh every poll

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Caesars

Time	Book	Move
5:00 AM ET	Caesars	0.5 → 1.5
5:00 AM ET	Caesars	1.5 → 0.5
2:00 AM ET	Caesars	0.5 → 1.5

League vs CIN — Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Trea Turner PHI

07/09

Swanson's hitting zones (batter data)

Where he produces at the plate — official MLB hot/cold zones from his own at-bats, catcher's view, red hot / blue cold. Compare against the opposing pitcher's arsenal above: a fastball-heavy righty living up-and-in is a problem if that zone runs cold.

Advantage: hits .327 middle-middle · Weakness: .160 up

sluggingPercentage

OPS

Exit Velo

AVG

onBasePercentage