Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Dansby Swanson

Chicago Cubs · SS · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.03
Edge
+8.7%
Trending splitsDay 42%(33)
All 200 games
61%121/200 over 0.5
Window avg
0.83
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
53%
23/43
Avg0.83
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Dansby Swanson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Alex Bregman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 69% · n=46 · -238 BetOnline
Ian Happ o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 61% · n=232 · -173 DraftKings
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 61% · n=219 · -222 BetOnline
Carson Kelly o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 57% · n=109 · -183 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitsall 200 games vs 0.5

home only · official box scores
0vs PHI04/210vs PHI04/222vs PHI04/231vs AZ05/011vs AZ05/020vs AZ05/030vs CIN05/041vs CIN05/051vs CIN05/060vs CIN05/071vs MIL05/181vs MIL05/190vs MIL05/200vs HOU05/221vs HOU05/230vs OAK06/021vs OAK06/031vs OAK06/040vs SF06/050vs COL06/150vs COL06/161vs COL06/171vs TOR06/192vs TOR06/202vs SD06/293vs SD06/303vs SD07/010vs STL07/030vs STL07/041vs STL07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-147+111
BetOnline0.5-164+126

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs BAL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Alex Bregman CHC07/072
Miguel Amaya CHC07/072
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC07/072
Michael Conforto CHC07/071
Nico Hoerner CHC07/071
Ian Happ CHC07/070
Seiya Suzuki CHC07/070
Michael Busch CHC07/070
Tyler Stephenson CIN07/052
Spencer Steer CIN07/051
Sal Stewart CIN07/051
Edwin Arroyo CIN07/051
Eugenio Suárez CIN07/050
TJ Friedl CIN07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.300.148.176.263.327.308.250.310.111
Exit Velo
88.4890.3693.1789.9096.6891.2096.6189.3081.58
sluggingPercentage
.300.320.294.737.818.520.500.586.115
AVG
.300.160.176.263.327.320.250.310.115
OPS
.600.444.4711.0001.145.808.750.897.222