Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.03
Edge
+8.7%Trending splitsvs LHP 14%(21)
Last 5
25%1/4 over 2 · 1 push
Window avg
1.20
Median
1.0
L5
25%
1/4
L10
25%
2/8
L20
20%
3/15
2026
5%
4/75
Avg0.85
Streak—
Parlay pairs — when Dansby Swanson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Alex Bregman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 69% · n=46 · -238 BetOnline
Ian Happ o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 61% · n=232 · -173 DraftKings
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 61% · n=219 · -222 BetOnline
Carson Kelly o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 57% · n=109 · -183 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 5 vs 2
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKings
League vs BAL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Alex Bregman CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Miguel Amaya CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Michael Conforto CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nico Hoerner CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Seiya Suzuki CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ian Happ CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Michael Busch CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Stephenson CIN | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Sal Stewart CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Spencer Steer CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Edwin Arroyo CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Eugenio Suárez CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Bleday CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS