Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.09
Edge
-5.3%All 141 games
11%16/141 over 0.5
Window avg
0.13
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
13%
4/31
Avg0.13
StreakL9
Tonight's matchup: Shane McClanahan (LHP)
Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 36.9% | 95.6 | .210 | .324 | 18.7% |
| Changeup | 28.8% | 87.0 | .200 | .275 | 17.5% |
| Slider | 20.0% | 88.3 | .364 | .848 | 21.8% |
| Curveball | 14.3% | 82.1 | .154 | .385 | 43.4% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Cody Bellinger clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 60% · n=32 · -119 DraftKings
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 75% · base 60% · n=32 · -123 BetOnline
Jasson Domínguez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 52% · n=20 · -149 dabble_us_dfs
Anthony Volpe o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 56% · n=30 · -132 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — all 141 games vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +634 | -625 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs TB — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Ben Rice NYY | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Paul Goldschmidt NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Caballero NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ali Sánchez NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Trent Grisham NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Max Schuemann NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Amed Rosario NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Caballero NYY | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ben Rice NYY | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Trent Grisham NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Austin Wells NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Paul Goldschmidt NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS