Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.18
Edge
-8.4%All 378 games
56%151/270 over 1 · 108 push
Window avg
1.72
Median
1.0
L5
33%
1/3
L10
14%
1/7
L20
31%
5/16
2026
50%
32/64
Avg1.72
Streak—
Tonight's matchup: Shane McClanahan (LHP)
Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 36.9% | 95.6 | .210 | .324 | 18.7% |
| Changeup | 28.8% | 87.0 | .200 | .275 | 17.5% |
| Slider | 20.0% | 88.3 | .364 | .848 | 21.8% |
| Curveball | 14.3% | 82.1 | .154 | .385 | 43.4% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Cody Bellinger clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 60% · n=84 · -119 DraftKings
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 70% · base 60% · n=84 · -123 BetOnline
Paul Goldschmidt o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 59% · n=82 · -238 BetOnline
Jasson Domínguez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 52% · n=49 · -172 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 378 games vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +146 | -192 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs TB — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Ben Rice NYY | 07/07 | 6 | ✓ |
| Ali Sánchez NYY | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Trent Grisham NYY | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Max Schuemann NYY | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Paul Goldschmidt NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Caballero NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Amed Rosario NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Caballero NYY | 07/06 | 8 | ✓ |
| Ben Rice NYY | 07/06 | 4 | ✓ |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Trent Grisham NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ryan McMahon NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jasson Domínguez NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS