Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jared Triolo

Pittsburgh Pirates · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.76
Edge
+0.6%
Last 20
55%11/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.75
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
58%
14/24
Avg0.74
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Jared Triolo clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Nick Gonzales o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 70% · n=104 · -232 DraftKings
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 68% · n=149 · -214 DraftKings
Jared Jones o14.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 67% · base 58% · n=12 · -142 DraftKings
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=32 · -137 Underdog

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
2vs BAL04/030vs CIN05/020@ AZ05/072vs COL05/140vs PHI05/160vs PHI05/171@ STL05/210@ TOR05/230@ TOR05/241vs MIN05/301vs MIN05/311@ ATL06/060@ ATL06/070vs MIA06/131vs MIA06/141@ COL06/211vs SEA06/253vs CIN06/270@ PHI07/021@ WSH07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-130-102

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs ATL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ryan O'Hearn PIT07/074
Brandon Lowe PIT07/073
Tyler Callihan PIT07/072
Nick Gonzales PIT07/072
Jake Mangum PIT07/071
Esmerlyn Valdez PIT07/071
Bryan Reynolds PIT07/070
Henry Davis PIT07/070
Bo Bichette NYM07/062
Francisco Alvarez NYM07/062
Carson Benge NYM07/062
Juan Soto NYM07/061
Ronny Mauricio NYM07/061
Jared Young NYM07/061