Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.76
Edge
+0.6%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
Last 30
73%22/30 over 0.5
Window avg
1.10
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
69%
11/16
Avg0.84
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Grant Holmes (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider | 38.0% | 85.3 | .167 | .167 | 36.7% |
| Four-seam FB | 31.7% | 94.2 | .250 | .317 | 16.7% |
| Sinker | 10.3% | 93.1 | .278 | .500 | 14.1% |
| Curveball | 8.1% | 82.9 | .200 | .400 | 41.7% |
| Cutter | 6.5% | 92.2 | .286 | .286 | 42.3% |
| Changeup | 5.5% | 89.6 | .278 | .278 | 25.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jared Triolo clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Nick Gonzales o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 70% · n=104 · -222 dabble_us_dfs
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 68% · n=149 · -214 DraftKings
Jared Jones o14.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 67% · base 58% · n=12 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=32 · -102 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 30 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs ATL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Ryan O'Hearn PIT | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Brandon Lowe PIT | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Nick Gonzales PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Tyler Callihan PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jake Mangum PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Esmerlyn Valdez PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Henry Davis PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bryan Reynolds PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Francisco Alvarez NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Bo Bichette NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Carson Benge NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brett Baty NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Juan Soto NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jared Young NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
Exit Velo