Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jared Triolo

Pittsburgh Pirates · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.76
Edge
+0.6%
Last 20
45%5/11 over 1 · 9 push
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
50%
2/4
L10
50%
3/6
L20
45%
5/11
2026
38%
3/8
Avg0.84
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Jared Triolo clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Nick Gonzales o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 70% · n=104 · -232 DraftKings
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 68% · n=149 · -214 DraftKings
Jared Jones o14.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 67% · base 58% · n=12 · -142 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 1

official box scores
2@ WSH09/132vs CHC09/170@ CIN09/251@ ATL09/261@ NYM03/281@ CIN04/011@ AZ05/050@ SF05/081vs COL05/130vs PHI05/163@ STL05/190@ TOR05/231vs CHC05/261@ ATL06/051vs LAD06/091vs LAD06/112@ COL06/190vs CIN06/260@ PHI06/302@ WSH07/031

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-130-102

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs ATL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ryan O'Hearn PIT07/074
Brandon Lowe PIT07/073
Tyler Callihan PIT07/072
Nick Gonzales PIT07/072
Esmerlyn Valdez PIT07/071
Jake Mangum PIT07/071
Bryan Reynolds PIT07/070
Henry Davis PIT07/070
Francisco Alvarez NYM07/062
Bo Bichette NYM07/062
Carson Benge NYM07/062
Ronny Mauricio NYM07/061
Jared Young NYM07/061
Brett Baty NYM07/061