Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.71
Edge
+7.0%Last 5
40%2/5 over 1.5
Window avg
1.60
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
47%
9/19
Avg1.90
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Dean Kremer (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Splitter | 39.4% | 82.5 | .500 | .500 | 33.3% |
| Four-seam FB | 21.3% | 93.5 | .282 | .521 | 21.8% |
| Sinker | 16.9% | 92.3 | .323 | .500 | 14.8% |
| Curveball | 14.2% | 77.2 | .217 | .261 | 31.0% |
| Cutter | 5.5% | 86.8 | .250 | .400 | 36.8% |
| Slider | 2.8% | 83.4 | .229 | .479 | 30.2% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Seiya Suzuki clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Alex Bregman o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 67% · base 43% · n=30 · +127 dabble_us_dfs
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 60% · n=139 · -222 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 5 vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +140 | -187 |
| Betr Picks | 1.5 | -137 | — |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +140 | -185 |
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +139 | -182 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +143 | -143 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs BAL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Miguel Amaya CHC | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Alex Bregman CHC | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Dansby Swanson CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Michael Conforto CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nico Hoerner CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Ian Happ CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Michael Busch CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Spencer Steer CIN | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Tyler Stephenson CIN | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Sal Stewart CIN | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Edwin Arroyo CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Noelvi Marte CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Bleday CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo