Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.32
Edge
-7.2%Last 10
30%3/10 over 1.5
Window avg
1.10
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
29%
20/69
Avg1.31
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Jeffrey Springs (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 43.7% | 91.4 | .148 | .279 | 18.8% |
| Slider | 26.0% | 83.9 | .229 | .371 | 19.7% |
| Changeup | 22.8% | 79.5 | .208 | .333 | 20.4% |
| Sweeper | 5.7% | 76.7 | .304 | .478 | 8.7% |
| Cutter | 1.8% | 88.4 | .333 | .600 | 20.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Matt Vierling clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Riley Greene o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 63% · n=71 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Riley Greene o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 62% · base 41% · n=71 · +117 dabble_us_dfs
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 61% · base 55% · n=18 · +102 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 10 vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +135 | -180 |
| Betr Picks | 1.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +127 | -127 |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +135 | -180 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadaBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs
League vs OAK — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Colt Keith DET | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Kevin McGonigle DET | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Zach McKinstry DET | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Spencer Torkelson DET | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Riley Greene DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kerry Carpenter DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| James Outman DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dillon Dingler DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Heriberto Hernández MIA | 07/05 | 10 | ✓ |
| Otto Lopez MIA | 07/05 | 7 | ✓ |
| Leo Jiménez MIA | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Brian Navarreto MIA | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Xavier Edwards MIA | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Esteury Ruiz MIA | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS