Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Matt Vierling

Detroit Tigers · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.32
Edge
-7.2%
Last 145
33%48/145 over 1.5
Window avg
1.26
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
30%
12/40
Avg1.26
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Matt Vierling clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Riley Greene o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 63% · n=71 · -209 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 145 vs 1.5

official box scores
0@ ATL04/280vs TEX05/012vs TEX05/030vs BOS05/045vs BOS05/051vs BOS05/062@ KC05/080@ KC05/092@ KC05/100@ NYM05/120@ NYM05/131vs TOR05/154vs CLE05/181vs CLE05/190vs CLE05/201vs LAA05/260vs LAA05/271@ CWS05/295@ TB06/020vs MIN06/090vs MIN06/100@ HOU06/164vs CWS06/190vs NYY06/222vs NYY06/231vs NYY06/241vs HOU06/261@ NYY06/290@ TEX07/022vs OAK07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+135-180
Bovada1.5+135-180

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs OAK Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Colt Keith DET07/074
Kevin McGonigle DET07/072
Zach McKinstry DET07/072
Spencer Torkelson DET07/071
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
James Outman DET07/070
Riley Greene DET07/070
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/0510
Otto Lopez MIA07/057
Leo Jiménez MIA07/054
Brian Navarreto MIA07/053
Liam Hicks MIA07/052
Esteury Ruiz MIA07/052