Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Matt Vierling

Detroit Tigers · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.32
Edge
-7.2%
Trending splitsvs LHP 44%(25)
Last 20
15%3/20 over 1.5
Window avg
0.85
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
28%
8/29
Avg1.38
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Matt Vierling clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Riley Greene o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 63% · n=71 · -209 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
5vs TOR05/160vs TOR05/170vs CLE05/213@ BAL05/241@ BAL05/240vs LAA05/281@ CWS05/300@ CWS05/311@ TB06/030vs SEA06/060vs SEA06/070vs MIN06/111@ CLE06/130@ HOU06/170vs CWS06/201vs CWS06/210vs HOU06/271vs HOU06/280@ NYY07/013@ TEX07/051.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+135-180
Bovada1.5+135-180

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs OAK Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Colt Keith DET07/074
Zach McKinstry DET07/072
Kevin McGonigle DET07/072
Spencer Torkelson DET07/071
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
James Outman DET07/070
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
Riley Greene DET07/070
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/0510
Otto Lopez MIA07/057
Leo Jiménez MIA07/054
Brian Navarreto MIA07/053
Xavier Edwards MIA07/052
Esteury Ruiz MIA07/052