Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Matt Vierling

Detroit Tigers · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.74
Edge
-11.8%
All 145 games
61%88/145 over 0.5
Window avg
0.77
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
53%
21/40
Avg0.77
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Jeffrey Springs (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
43.7%
91.4.148.27918.8%
Slider
26.0%
83.9.229.37119.7%
Changeup
22.8%
79.5.208.33320.4%
Sweeper
5.7%
76.7.304.4788.7%
Cutter
1.8%
88.4.333.60020.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Hitsall 145 games vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ ATL04/280vs TEX05/011vs TEX05/030vs BOS05/042vs BOS05/051vs BOS05/061@ KC05/080@ KC05/091@ KC05/100@ NYM05/120@ NYM05/131vs TOR05/151vs CLE05/181vs CLE05/190vs CLE05/201vs LAA05/260vs LAA05/271@ CWS05/292@ TB06/020vs MIN06/090vs MIN06/100@ HOU06/161vs CWS06/190vs NYY06/221vs NYY06/231vs NYY06/241vs HOU06/261@ NYY06/290@ TEX07/021vs OAK07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-217+161
dabble_us_dfs0.5-213+217

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs OAK Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Zach McKinstry DET07/072
Kevin McGonigle DET07/072
Spencer Torkelson DET07/071
Colt Keith DET07/071
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
James Outman DET07/070
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
Riley Greene DET07/070
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/053
Otto Lopez MIA07/053
Brian Navarreto MIA07/052
Xavier Edwards MIA07/052
Liam Hicks MIA07/052
Leo Jiménez MIA07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.000.111.400.267.296.125.267.192.267
Exit Velo
87.7592.70100.5191.4192.5190.1193.1687.3482.91
AVG
.000.111.400.267.320.130.267.200.267
sluggingPercentage
.000.278.600.600.600.261.533.320.267
OPS
.000.3891.000.867.852.375.800.500.533