Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Matt Vierling

Detroit Tigers · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.32
Edge
-7.2%
Last 5
0%0/5 over 3.5
Window avg
1.20
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
10%
7/69
Avg1.31
StreakL13

Parlay pairs — when Matt Vierling clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Riley Greene o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 63% · n=71 · -209 DraftKings
Riley Greene o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 62% · base 41% · n=71 · -137 PrizePicks
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 61% · base 55% · n=18 · -137 Underdog

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 5 vs 3.5

official box scores
1@ NYY06/290@ NYY07/010@ TEX07/023@ TEX07/052vs OAK07/073.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+135-180
Betr Picks1.5-137
Bovada1.5+135-180

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET9:38 AM ET
DraftKingsBovadaBetr Picks

League vs OAK Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Colt Keith DET07/074
Kevin McGonigle DET07/072
Zach McKinstry DET07/072
Spencer Torkelson DET07/071
Riley Greene DET07/070
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
James Outman DET07/070
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/0510
Otto Lopez MIA07/057
Leo Jiménez MIA07/054
Brian Navarreto MIA07/053
Esteury Ruiz MIA07/052
Javier Sanoja MIA07/052