Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Matt Vierling

Detroit Tigers · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.74
Edge
-11.8%
Last 250
0%1/244 over 3 · 6 push
Window avg
0.81
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/20
2026
0%
0/67
Avg0.81
StreakL30

Tonight's matchup: Jeffrey Springs (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
43.7%
91.4.148.27918.8%
Slider
26.0%
83.9.229.37119.7%
Changeup
22.8%
79.5.208.33320.4%
Sweeper
5.7%
76.7.304.4788.7%
Cutter
1.8%
88.4.333.60020.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Hitslast 250 vs 3

official box scores
1vs LAA05/260vs LAA05/270vs LAA05/281@ CWS05/291@ CWS05/300@ CWS05/312@ TB06/021@ TB06/030vs SEA06/060vs SEA06/070vs MIN06/090vs MIN06/100vs MIN06/111@ CLE06/130@ HOU06/160@ HOU06/171vs CWS06/190vs CWS06/201vs CWS06/210vs NYY06/221vs NYY06/231vs NYY06/241vs HOU06/260vs HOU06/271vs HOU06/281@ NYY06/290@ NYY07/010@ TEX07/021@ TEX07/051vs OAK07/073

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-217+161
dabble_us_dfs0.5-213+217

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs OAK Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Kevin McGonigle DET07/072
Zach McKinstry DET07/072
Spencer Torkelson DET07/071
Colt Keith DET07/071
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
Riley Greene DET07/070
James Outman DET07/070
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/053
Otto Lopez MIA07/053
Xavier Edwards MIA07/052
Liam Hicks MIA07/052
Brian Navarreto MIA07/052
Esteury Ruiz MIA07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.000.111.400.267.296.125.267.192.267
Exit Velo
87.7592.70100.5191.4192.5190.1193.1687.3482.91
AVG
.000.111.400.267.320.130.267.200.267
sluggingPercentage
.000.278.600.600.600.261.533.320.267
OPS
.000.3891.000.867.852.375.800.500.533