Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Matt Vierling

Detroit Tigers · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.32
Edge
-7.2%
Last 20
60%12/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.25
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
53%
17/32
Avg1.33
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Matt Vierling clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Riley Greene o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 63% · n=71 · -209 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 0.5

away only · official box scores
4@ ATL04/302@ KC05/080@ KC05/092@ KC05/100@ NYM05/120@ NYM05/133@ BAL05/241@ BAL05/241@ CWS05/291@ CWS05/300@ CWS05/315@ TB06/021@ TB06/031@ CLE06/130@ HOU06/160@ HOU06/171@ NYY06/290@ NYY07/010@ TEX07/023@ TEX07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+135-180
Bovada1.5+135-180

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs OAK Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Colt Keith DET07/074
Zach McKinstry DET07/072
Kevin McGonigle DET07/072
Spencer Torkelson DET07/071
Riley Greene DET07/070
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
James Outman DET07/070
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/0510
Otto Lopez MIA07/057
Leo Jiménez MIA07/054
Brian Navarreto MIA07/053
Esteury Ruiz MIA07/052
Liam Hicks MIA07/052