Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Matt Vierling

Detroit Tigers · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.32
Edge
-7.2%
Last 30
40%12/30 over 1.5
Window avg
1.57
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
44%
11/25
Avg1.46
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Matt Vierling clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Riley Greene o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 63% · n=71 · -209 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 30 vs 1.5

official box scores
1vs TOR07/242vs AZ07/281@ PHI08/010@ PHI08/031vs LAA08/091vs KC04/142vs KC04/160@ BOS04/173@ BOS04/192vs MIL04/212@ CIN04/240@ ATL04/280vs TEX05/010vs BOS05/045vs BOS05/052@ KC05/082@ KC05/105vs TOR05/161vs CLE05/190vs CLE05/211@ BAL05/241@ CWS05/291@ CWS05/305@ TB06/021@ CLE06/134vs CWS06/190vs CWS06/202vs NYY06/231vs NYY06/241@ NYY06/291.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+135-180
Bovada1.5+135-180

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs OAK Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Colt Keith DET07/074
Kevin McGonigle DET07/072
Zach McKinstry DET07/072
Spencer Torkelson DET07/071
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
James Outman DET07/070
Riley Greene DET07/070
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/0510
Otto Lopez MIA07/057
Leo Jiménez MIA07/054
Brian Navarreto MIA07/053
Javier Sanoja MIA07/052
Xavier Edwards MIA07/052