Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Matt Vierling

Detroit Tigers · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.32
Edge
-7.2%
Last 20
40%8/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.50
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
46%
6/13
Avg1.61
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Matt Vierling clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Riley Greene o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 63% · n=71 · -209 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

home only · official box scores
0vs BAL09/151vs TB09/262vs CWS09/270vs CLE05/251vs TOR07/242vs AZ07/281vs LAA08/091vs KC04/142vs KC04/162vs MIL04/210vs TEX05/010vs BOS05/045vs BOS05/055vs TOR05/161vs CLE05/190vs CLE05/214vs CWS06/190vs CWS06/202vs NYY06/231vs NYY06/241.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+135-180
Bovada1.5+135-180

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs OAK Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Colt Keith DET07/074
Zach McKinstry DET07/072
Kevin McGonigle DET07/072
Spencer Torkelson DET07/071
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
Riley Greene DET07/070
James Outman DET07/070
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/0510
Otto Lopez MIA07/057
Leo Jiménez MIA07/054
Brian Navarreto MIA07/053
Esteury Ruiz MIA07/052
Javier Sanoja MIA07/052