Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Matt Vierling

Detroit Tigers · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.32
Edge
-7.2%
Last 20
25%4/16 over 2 · 4 push
Window avg
1.70
Median
1.0
L5
25%
1/4
L10
22%
2/9
L20
25%
4/16
2026
26%
5/19
Avg1.46
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Matt Vierling clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Riley Greene o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 63% · n=71 · -209 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 2

official box scores
2@ CIN04/240@ ATL04/280vs TEX05/010vs BOS05/045vs BOS05/052@ KC05/082@ KC05/105vs TOR05/161vs CLE05/190vs CLE05/211@ BAL05/241@ CWS05/291@ CWS05/305@ TB06/021@ CLE06/134vs CWS06/190vs CWS06/202vs NYY06/231vs NYY06/241@ NYY06/292

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+135-180
Bovada1.5+135-180

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs OAK Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Colt Keith DET07/074
Kevin McGonigle DET07/072
Zach McKinstry DET07/072
Spencer Torkelson DET07/071
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
James Outman DET07/070
Riley Greene DET07/070
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/0510
Otto Lopez MIA07/057
Leo Jiménez MIA07/054
Brian Navarreto MIA07/053
Xavier Edwards MIA07/052
Javier Sanoja MIA07/052