Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.85
Edge
-7.0%All 201 games
55%111/201 over 0.5
Window avg
0.82
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
65%
30/46
Avg0.82
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Dean Kremer (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Splitter | 39.4% | 82.5 | .250 | .250 | 47.1% |
| Four-seam FB | 21.3% | 93.5 | .197 | .342 | 13.0% |
| Sinker | 16.9% | 92.3 | .255 | .451 | 17.3% |
| Curveball | 14.2% | 77.2 | .286 | .286 | 40.0% |
| Cutter | 5.5% | 86.8 | .300 | .750 | 10.9% |
| Slider | 2.8% | 83.4 | .300 | .450 | 42.4% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Michael Busch clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Carson Kelly o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 57% · n=100 · -156 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 201 games vs 0.5
home only · official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 0.5 | -217 | +161 |
| BetOnline | 0.5 | -208 | +158 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -185 | +189 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs BAL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Dansby Swanson CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Alex Bregman CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Miguel Amaya CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nico Hoerner CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Michael Conforto CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Seiya Suzuki CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ian Happ CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Stephenson CIN | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Edwin Arroyo CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Spencer Steer CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Sal Stewart CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| JJ Bleday CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Noelvi Marte CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage
OPS