Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.85
Edge
-7.0%Last 30
70%21/30 over 0.5
Window avg
0.97
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
80%
16/20
2026
67%
24/36
Avg0.83
StreakW3
Parlay pairs — when Michael Busch clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Carson Kelly o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 57% · n=100 · -183 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 30 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKings
League vs BAL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Miguel Amaya CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Dansby Swanson CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Alex Bregman CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nico Hoerner CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Michael Conforto CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Seiya Suzuki CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ian Happ CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Stephenson CIN | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Sal Stewart CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Edwin Arroyo CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Spencer Steer CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| TJ Friedl CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Bleday CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS
AVG