Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.45
Edge
-10.3%Last 30
0%0/29 over 2 · 1 push
Window avg
0.37
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/9
L20
0%
0/19
2026
0%
0/85
Avg0.48
StreakL4
Tonight's matchup: Dean Kremer (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Splitter | 39.4% | 82.5 | .250 | .250 | 47.1% |
| Four-seam FB | 21.3% | 93.5 | .197 | .342 | 13.0% |
| Sinker | 16.9% | 92.3 | .255 | .451 | 17.3% |
| Curveball | 14.2% | 77.2 | .286 | .286 | 40.0% |
| Cutter | 5.5% | 86.8 | .300 | .750 | 10.9% |
| Slider | 2.8% | 83.4 | .300 | .450 | 42.4% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Michael Busch clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Alex Bregman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 68% · n=33 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Nico Hoerner o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 72% · n=145 · -230 DraftKings
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 65% · n=129 · -183 DraftKings
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 61% · n=132 · -222 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 30 vs 2
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DK Pick6 | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +116 | -115 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
dabble_us_dfsBetr PicksDK Pick6
League vs BAL — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Miguel Amaya CHC | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Nico Hoerner CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Dansby Swanson CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Seiya Suzuki CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Michael Conforto CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alex Bregman CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ian Happ CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Eugenio Suárez CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Edwin Arroyo CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Spencer Steer CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Tyler Stephenson CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| TJ Friedl CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sal Stewart CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage
OPS