Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Michael Busch

Chicago Cubs · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.85
Edge
-7.0%
Last 82
44%36/82 over 0.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
68%
15/22
Avg0.60
StreakW3

Parlay pairs — when Michael Busch clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Carson Kelly o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 57% · n=100 · -183 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 82 vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ LAA08/220@ SF08/270vs ATL09/021@ ATL09/100@ CIN09/191@ CIN09/210vs NYM09/230@ MIL10/062vs LAA04/010@ CLE04/030@ CLE04/050@ TB04/060@ PHI04/151vs PHI04/212vs PHI04/222vs PHI04/231@ LAD04/263vs CIN05/051@ ATL05/140vs MIL05/202@ STL05/311vs OAK06/021vs OAK06/030vs SF06/051vs COL06/171vs TOR06/200@ NYM06/241@ MIL06/271vs SD06/301vs STL07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-217+161
BetOnline0.5-208+158

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs BAL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Miguel Amaya CHC07/072
Alex Bregman CHC07/072
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC07/072
Dansby Swanson CHC07/072
Nico Hoerner CHC07/071
Michael Conforto CHC07/071
Seiya Suzuki CHC07/070
Ian Happ CHC07/070
Tyler Stephenson CIN07/052
Edwin Arroyo CIN07/051
Spencer Steer CIN07/051
Sal Stewart CIN07/051
Elly De La Cruz CIN07/050
Eugenio Suárez CIN07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
94.6889.9477.0891.9494.0892.0583.3290.9294.96
onBasePercentage
.294.172.400.353.246.324.318.292.200
sluggingPercentage
.313.500.500.647.421.688.409.348.214
OPS
.588.655.8671.000.667.971.727.625.400
AVG
.250.179.357.353.246.344.318.261.143