Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.34
Edge
-4.2%Last 20
30%6/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.15
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
40%
34/86
Avg1.61
StreakL4
Tonight's matchup: Dean Kremer (RHP)
Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Splitter | 39.4% | 82.5 | .313 | .313 | 21.2% |
| Four-seam FB | 21.3% | 93.5 | .189 | .406 | 29.1% |
| Sinker | 16.9% | 92.3 | .229 | .343 | 9.8% |
| Curveball | 14.2% | 77.2 | .136 | .227 | 51.9% |
| Cutter | 5.5% | 86.8 | .375 | 1.042 | 25.0% |
| Slider | 2.8% | 83.4 | .286 | .571 | 36.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Ian Happ clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Nico Hoerner o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 71% · n=145 · -230 DraftKings
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 66% · n=136 · -183 DraftKings
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 61% · n=130 · -222 BetOnline
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 61% · n=145 · -147 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +158 | -156 |
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +132 | -172 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlinedabble_us_dfs
League vs BAL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Alex Bregman CHC | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Miguel Amaya CHC | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Dansby Swanson CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nico Hoerner CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Michael Conforto CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Michael Busch CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Seiya Suzuki CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Spencer Steer CIN | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Tyler Stephenson CIN | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Sal Stewart CIN | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Edwin Arroyo CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| TJ Friedl CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Noelvi Marte CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS