Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Ian Happ

Chicago Cubs · LF · Bats S

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.73
Edge
-7.3%
Last 15
60%9/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.67
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
57%
49/86
Avg0.88
StreakL2

Tonight's matchup: Dean Kremer (RHP)

Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Splitter
39.4%
82.5.313.31321.2%
Four-seam FB
21.3%
93.5.189.40629.1%
Sinker
16.9%
92.3.229.3439.8%
Curveball
14.2%
77.2.136.22751.9%
Cutter
5.5%
86.8.3751.04225.0%
Slider
2.8%
83.4.286.57136.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Ian Happ clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Dansby Swanson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 61% · n=234 · -147 DraftKings
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 61% · n=207 · -222 BetOnline
Carson Kelly o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 58% · n=102 · -183 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 15 vs 0.5

official box scores
2vs TOR06/191vs TOR06/201@ NYM06/231@ NYM06/241@ NYM06/250@ MIL06/261@ MIL06/270@ MIL06/280vs SD06/291vs SD06/301vs SD07/010vs STL07/031vs STL07/040vs STL07/050@ BAL07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-173+130
BetOnline0.5-185+140

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs BAL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC07/072
Alex Bregman CHC07/072
Miguel Amaya CHC07/072
Dansby Swanson CHC07/072
Nico Hoerner CHC07/071
Michael Conforto CHC07/071
Michael Busch CHC07/070
Seiya Suzuki CHC07/070
Tyler Stephenson CIN07/052
Sal Stewart CIN07/051
Spencer Steer CIN07/051
Edwin Arroyo CIN07/051
JJ Bleday CIN07/050
Elly De La Cruz CIN07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.115.267.188.344.324.240.167.195.250
Exit Velo
93.6093.6091.2191.4194.5186.0989.3389.8587.21
onBasePercentage
.115.258.188.344.324.240.167.195.250
sluggingPercentage
.346.667.375.750.735.480.367.415.250
OPS
.462.903.5631.0941.059.720.533.610.500