Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.73
Edge
-7.3%Last 20
55%11/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.75
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
61%
27/44
Avg0.90
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Ian Happ clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 61% · n=234 · -147 DraftKings
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 61% · n=207 · -222 BetOnline
Carson Kelly o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 58% · n=102 · -183 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKings
League vs BAL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Alex Bregman CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Miguel Amaya CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Dansby Swanson CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nico Hoerner CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Michael Conforto CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Seiya Suzuki CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Michael Busch CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Stephenson CIN | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Sal Stewart CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Spencer Steer CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Edwin Arroyo CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| JJ Bleday CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Eugenio Suárez CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS
AVG