Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.34
Edge
-5.9%All 397 games
49%151/307 over 1 · 90 push
Window avg
1.61
Median
1.0
L5
25%
1/4
L10
25%
2/8
L20
43%
6/14
2026
48%
34/71
Avg1.61
StreakL2
Parlay pairs — when Ian Happ clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Nico Hoerner o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 71% · n=145 · -230 DraftKings
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 66% · n=136 · -183 DraftKings
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 61% · n=130 · -222 BetOnline
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 61% · n=145 · -147 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 397 games vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +132 | -172 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs BAL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Alex Bregman CHC | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Miguel Amaya CHC | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Dansby Swanson CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nico Hoerner CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Michael Conforto CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Seiya Suzuki CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Michael Busch CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Spencer Steer CIN | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Tyler Stephenson CIN | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Sal Stewart CIN | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Edwin Arroyo CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Elly De La Cruz CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Noelvi Marte CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS
AVG