Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Spencer Torkelson

Detroit Tigers · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.65
Edge
+2.7%
Last 20
45%9/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.75
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
36%
16/45
Avg1.66
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Jeffrey Springs (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
43.7%
91.4.247.49424.6%
Slider
26.0%
83.9.189.43236.2%
Changeup
22.8%
79.5.172.24141.1%
Sweeper
5.7%
76.7.194.36144.1%
Cutter
1.8%
88.4.143.22931.7%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

home only · official box scores
0vs LAA05/268vs LAA05/270vs LAA05/284vs SEA06/050vs SEA06/061vs SEA06/071vs MIN06/090vs MIN06/104vs MIN06/110vs CWS06/192vs CWS06/202vs CWS06/213vs NYY06/220vs NYY06/232vs NYY06/240vs HOU06/250vs HOU06/262vs HOU06/275vs HOU06/281vs OAK07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
Betr Picks1.5-137
dabble_us_dfs1.5+149-147

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.511:15 AM ET11:15 AM ET
dabble_us_dfsBetr Picks

League vs OAK Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Colt Keith DET07/074
Kevin McGonigle DET07/072
Matt Vierling DET07/072
Zach McKinstry DET07/072
Riley Greene DET07/070
James Outman DET07/070
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/0510
Otto Lopez MIA07/057
Leo Jiménez MIA07/054
Brian Navarreto MIA07/053
Liam Hicks MIA07/052
Xavier Edwards MIA07/052

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.6431.412.625.560.786.4471.4711.238.344
AVG
.286.353.250.167.244.184.471.429.156
onBasePercentage
.286.353.250.160.238.184.471.429.156
sluggingPercentage
.3571.059.375.417.561.2631.000.810.188
Exit Velo
82.4499.5090.1290.3097.5491.2798.0192.7879.97