Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.18
Edge
-3.1%Last 30
20%6/30 over 0.5
Window avg
0.20
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
16%
14/90
Avg0.16
StreakL5
Tonight's matchup: Jeffrey Springs (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 43.7% | 91.4 | .247 | .494 | 24.6% |
| Slider | 26.0% | 83.9 | .189 | .432 | 36.2% |
| Changeup | 22.8% | 79.5 | .172 | .241 | 41.1% |
| Sweeper | 5.7% | 76.7 | .194 | .361 | 44.1% |
| Cutter | 1.8% | 88.4 | .143 | .229 | 31.7% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Spencer Torkelson clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 86% · base 76% · n=14 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 71% · base 53% · n=14 · +102 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — last 30 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +411 | -400 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs OAK — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Colt Keith DET | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kevin McGonigle DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dillon Dingler DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Matt Vierling DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach McKinstry DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| James Outman DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Riley Greene DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kerry Carpenter DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Heriberto Hernández MIA | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Otto Lopez MIA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Leo Jiménez MIA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brian Navarreto MIA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jakob Marsee MIA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Liam Hicks MIA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo