Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Spencer Torkelson

Detroit Tigers · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.65
Edge
+2.7%
Last 20
25%4/16 over 2 · 4 push
Window avg
1.45
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
22%
2/9
L20
25%
4/16
2026
23%
18/77
Avg1.49
StreakL5

Tonight's matchup: Jeffrey Springs (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
43.7%
91.4.247.49424.6%
Slider
26.0%
83.9.189.43236.2%
Changeup
22.8%
79.5.172.24141.1%
Sweeper
5.7%
76.7.194.36144.1%
Cutter
1.8%
88.4.143.22931.7%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 2

official box scores
4@ HOU06/150@ HOU06/160@ HOU06/170vs CWS06/192vs CWS06/202vs CWS06/213vs NYY06/220vs NYY06/232vs NYY06/240vs HOU06/250vs HOU06/262vs HOU06/275vs HOU06/281@ NYY06/295@ NYY06/300@ NYY07/011@ TEX07/020@ TEX07/041@ TEX07/051vs OAK07/072

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
Betr Picks1.5-137
dabble_us_dfs1.5+149-147

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.511:15 AM ET11:15 AM ET
dabble_us_dfsBetr Picks

League vs OAK Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Colt Keith DET07/074
Zach McKinstry DET07/072
Matt Vierling DET07/072
Kevin McGonigle DET07/072
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
James Outman DET07/070
Riley Greene DET07/070
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/0510
Otto Lopez MIA07/057
Leo Jiménez MIA07/054
Brian Navarreto MIA07/053
Javier Sanoja MIA07/052
Esteury Ruiz MIA07/052

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.6431.412.625.560.786.4471.4711.238.344
AVG
.286.353.250.167.244.184.471.429.156
onBasePercentage
.286.353.250.160.238.184.471.429.156
sluggingPercentage
.3571.059.375.417.561.2631.000.810.188
Exit Velo
82.4499.5090.1290.3097.5491.2798.0192.7879.97