Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Spencer Torkelson

Detroit Tigers · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.89
Edge
+0.0%
Last 20
60%12/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.75
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
58%
11/19
Avg0.83
StreakW2

Parlay pairs — when Spencer Torkelson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 76% · n=49 · -238 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
2@ BOS09/260vs KC04/140@ BOS04/171vs MIL04/211vs MIL04/222@ CIN04/240@ ATL04/281vs TEX05/010vs BOS05/040vs BOS05/051@ KC05/081@ KC05/101vs CLE05/191@ BAL05/220@ CWS05/292@ TB06/020vs CWS06/190vs NYY06/231vs NYY06/241@ NYY06/290.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-171+128

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs OAK Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Zach McKinstry DET07/072
Kevin McGonigle DET07/072
Colt Keith DET07/071
Matt Vierling DET07/071
James Outman DET07/070
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
Riley Greene DET07/070
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
Otto Lopez MIA07/053
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/053
Liam Hicks MIA07/052
Xavier Edwards MIA07/052
Brian Navarreto MIA07/052
Leo Jiménez MIA07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.3571.125.375.417.561.2501.000.810.188
Exit Velo
82.4499.5090.1290.3097.5491.6198.0192.7879.97
AVG
.286.375.250.167.244.167.471.429.156
onBasePercentage
.286.375.250.160.238.167.471.429.156
OPS
.6431.500.625.560.786.4171.4711.238.344