Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Spencer Torkelson

Detroit Tigers · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.89
Edge
+0.0%
Last 20
70%14/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.95
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
75%
6/8
Avg0.95
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Jeffrey Springs (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
43.7%
91.4.247.49424.6%
Slider
26.0%
83.9.189.43236.2%
Changeup
22.8%
79.5.172.24141.1%
Sweeper
5.7%
76.7.194.36144.1%
Cutter
1.8%
88.4.143.22931.7%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Spencer Torkelson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 76% · n=49 · -238 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
2@ COL05/081@ TOR05/171vs CLE05/250@ KC06/010vs CIN06/150vs PIT06/192vs OAK06/261@ PIT07/231vs HOU08/201vs NYM09/012vs ATL09/200@ BOS09/272vs KC04/160@ BOS04/191vs TOR05/161vs CLE05/211@ BAL05/242@ CWS05/300@ CLE06/131vs CWS06/200.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-171+128

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs OAK Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Zach McKinstry DET07/072
Kevin McGonigle DET07/072
Matt Vierling DET07/071
Colt Keith DET07/071
James Outman DET07/070
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
Riley Greene DET07/070
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
Otto Lopez MIA07/053
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/053
Xavier Edwards MIA07/052
Liam Hicks MIA07/052
Brian Navarreto MIA07/052
Esteury Ruiz MIA07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.6431.412.625.560.786.4471.4711.238.344
AVG
.286.353.250.167.244.184.471.429.156
onBasePercentage
.286.353.250.160.238.184.471.429.156
sluggingPercentage
.3571.059.375.417.561.2631.000.810.188
Exit Velo
82.4499.5090.1290.3097.5491.2798.0192.7879.97