Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.77
Edge
+8.1%Trending splitsvs LHP 52%(23)
Last 30
40%12/30 over 1.5
Window avg
1.73
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
39%
18/46
Avg1.52
StreakW3
Parlay pairs — when Bryan Reynolds clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Tyler Callihan o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 52% · n=12 · -125 DraftKings
Jared Jones o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 73% · base 62% · n=11 · -152 DraftKings
Jared Triolo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=103 · -130 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 30 vs 1.5
away only · official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs ATL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Ryan O'Hearn PIT | 07/07 | 13 | ✓ |
| Brandon Lowe PIT | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Nick Gonzales PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Tyler Callihan PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Esmerlyn Valdez PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jared Triolo PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jake Mangum PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Henry Davis PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Carson Benge NYM | 07/06 | 6 | ✓ |
| Juan Soto NYM | 07/06 | 4 | ✓ |
| Francisco Alvarez NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Bo Bichette NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brett Baty NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jared Young NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
onBasePercentage
AVG
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo