Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.18
Edge
+3.4%Trending splitsvs LHP 22%(23)
All 400 games
12%48/400 over 0.5
Window avg
0.13
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
13%
12/92
Avg0.13
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Grant Holmes (RHP)
Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider | 38.0% | 85.3 | .152 | .217 | 41.6% |
| Four-seam FB | 31.7% | 94.2 | .351 | .638 | 21.6% |
| Sinker | 10.3% | 93.1 | .351 | .459 | 15.2% |
| Curveball | 8.1% | 82.9 | .289 | .489 | 41.2% |
| Cutter | 6.5% | 92.2 | .130 | .261 | 25.7% |
| Changeup | 5.5% | 89.6 | .263 | .456 | 27.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Bryan Reynolds clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 67% · base 42% · n=9 · +131 dabble_us_dfs
Endy Rodríguez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 48% · n=9 · -161 dabble_us_dfs
Jared Triolo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 57% · n=37 · -119 dabble_us_dfs
Henry Davis o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 39% · n=18 · -137 PrizePicks
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — all 400 games vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +647 | -625 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs ATL — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Ryan O'Hearn PIT | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Henry Davis PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nick Gonzales PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Callihan PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Lowe PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Esmerlyn Valdez PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jared Triolo PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Mangum PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Carson Benge NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Juan Soto NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| A.J. Ewing NYM | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brett Baty NYM | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Francisco Alvarez NYM | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bo Bichette NYM | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS