Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.99
Edge
-0.9%Last 30
73%22/30 over 0.5
Window avg
1.13
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
74%
17/23
Avg1.02
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Grant Holmes (RHP)
Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider | 38.0% | 85.3 | .152 | .217 | 41.6% |
| Four-seam FB | 31.7% | 94.2 | .351 | .638 | 21.6% |
| Sinker | 10.3% | 93.1 | .351 | .459 | 15.2% |
| Curveball | 8.1% | 82.9 | .289 | .489 | 41.2% |
| Cutter | 6.5% | 92.2 | .130 | .261 | 25.7% |
| Changeup | 5.5% | 89.6 | .263 | .456 | 27.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Bryan Reynolds clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 66% · n=62 · -204 dabble_us_dfs
Jared Triolo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 57% · n=178 · -119 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 30 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs ATL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Ryan O'Hearn PIT | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Brandon Lowe PIT | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Nick Gonzales PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Tyler Callihan PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jared Triolo PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Mangum PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Esmerlyn Valdez PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Henry Davis PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Francisco Alvarez NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Bo Bichette NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Carson Benge NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Juan Soto NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ronny Mauricio NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jared Young NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS