Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.93
Edge
+19.6%Trending splitsDay 69%(29)
All 400 games
74%297/400 over 0.5
Window avg
1.65
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
80%
16/20
2026
78%
67/86
Avg1.65
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Dylan Cease (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 36.1% | 97.7 | .368 | .526 | 8.8% |
| Slider | 29.1% | 89.3 | .257 | .314 | 12.7% |
| Changeup | 11.3% | 83.6 | .152 | .303 | 7.9% |
| Sinker | 9.8% | 96.3 | .329 | .411 | 3.6% |
| Knuckle Curve | 9.3% | 82.7 | — | — | — |
| Sweeper | 4.4% | 84.2 | .273 | .455 | 9.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Luis Arraez clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Willy Adames o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 57% · n=44 · -108 dabble_us_dfs
Willy Adames o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 70% · base 57% · n=44 · -108 dabble_us_dfs
Victor Bericoto o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 56% · n=10 · -104 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 400 games vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +150 | -201 |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +150 | -200 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +138 | -137 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfs
League vs TOR — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Heliot Ramos SF | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Casey Schmitt SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Victor Bericoto SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Bryce Eldridge SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Rafael Devers SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Willy Adames SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jung Hoo Lee SF | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Drew Cavanaugh SF | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Heliot Ramos SF | 07/06 | 11 | ✓ |
| Victor Bericoto SF | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jung Hoo Lee SF | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Bryce Eldridge SF | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Eric Haase SF | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Casey Schmitt SF | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS