Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Luis Arraez

San Francisco Giants · 2B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.25
Edge
+5.5%
Trending splitsDay 67%(30)
Last 20
75%15/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.25
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
77%
67/87
Avg1.25
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Dylan Cease (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
36.1%
97.7.368.5268.8%
Slider
29.1%
89.3.257.31412.7%
Changeup
11.3%
83.6.152.3037.9%
Sinker
9.8%
96.3.329.4113.6%
Knuckle Curve
9.3%
82.7
Sweeper
4.4%
84.2.273.4559.8%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Luis Arraez clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Heliot Ramos o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 83% · base 76% · n=52 · -167 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs CHC06/130vs CHC06/143@ ATL06/162@ ATL06/170@ MIA06/191@ MIA06/201@ MIA06/211vs OAK06/231vs ATL06/261vs ATL06/272vs ATL06/282@ AZ06/293@ AZ06/300@ AZ07/011@ COL07/033@ COL07/040@ COL07/051vs TOR07/062vs TOR07/070vs TOR07/080.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-236+175
dabble_us_dfs1.5+211-208

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.51.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs TOR Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Eric Haase SF07/080
Jung Hoo Lee SF07/080
Heliot Ramos SF07/080
Willy Adames SF07/080
Rafael Devers SF07/080
Casey Schmitt SF07/080
Bryce Eldridge SF07/080
Drew Gilbert SF07/080
Heliot Ramos SF07/072
Bryce Eldridge SF07/071
Rafael Devers SF07/071
Victor Bericoto SF07/071
Willy Adames SF07/071
Casey Schmitt SF07/071

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.267.480.409.320.385.625.214.366.176
Exit Velo
89.7586.9583.5586.9587.1187.9985.6489.1187.52
onBasePercentage
.313.462.391.308.357.577.214.349.167
sluggingPercentage
.333.720.818.400.5001.000.250.439.294
OPS
.6251.1541.174.692.8211.500.464.767.444