Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Luis Arraez

San Francisco Giants · 2B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.31
Edge
+7.0%
Last 5
100%5/5 over 0.5
Window avg
1.60
Median
2.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
100%
5/5
L20
100%
5/5
2026
100%
2/2
Avg1.60
StreakW5

Tonight's matchup: Dylan Cease (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
36.1%
97.7.368.5268.8%
Slider
29.1%
89.3.257.31412.7%
Changeup
11.3%
83.6.152.3037.9%
Sinker
9.8%
96.3.329.4113.6%
Knuckle Curve
9.3%
82.7
Sweeper
4.4%
84.2.273.4559.8%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Luis Arraez clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Heliot Ramos o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 83% · base 77% · n=52 · -167 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 0.5

vs TOR only · official box scores
1@ TOR05/202@ TOR05/212@ TOR05/221vs TOR07/062vs TOR07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-236+175
dabble_us_dfs1.5+211-208

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.51.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs TOR Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Heliot Ramos SF07/072
Casey Schmitt SF07/071
Victor Bericoto SF07/071
Willy Adames SF07/071
Bryce Eldridge SF07/071
Rafael Devers SF07/071
Drew Cavanaugh SF07/070
Jung Hoo Lee SF07/070
Heliot Ramos SF07/063
Victor Bericoto SF07/062
Jung Hoo Lee SF07/061
Bryce Eldridge SF07/061
Willy Adames SF07/060
Casey Schmitt SF07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.267.480.409.320.385.625.214.366.176
Exit Velo
89.7586.9583.5586.9587.1187.9985.6489.1187.52
onBasePercentage
.313.462.391.308.357.577.214.349.167
sluggingPercentage
.333.720.818.400.5001.000.250.439.294
OPS
.6251.1541.174.692.8211.500.464.767.444