Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Riley Greene

Detroit Tigers · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.61
Edge
-4.2%
Trending splitsvs RHP 35%(40)
Last 15
47%7/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
43%
39/90
Avg0.54
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Jeffrey Springs (LHP)

Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
43.7%
91.4.256.43823.2%
Slider
26.0%
83.9.359.46235.4%
Changeup
22.8%
79.5.208.37741.4%
Sweeper
5.7%
76.7.333.60030.8%
Cutter
1.8%
88.4.400.93334.8%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Riley Greene clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 76% · n=38 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Matt Vierling o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 60% · n=93 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Hao-Yu Lee o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 51% · n=20 · -137 dabble_us_dfs
Dillon Dingler o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 61% · n=94 · -253 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 15 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs CWS06/201vs CWS06/212vs NYY06/220vs NYY06/230vs NYY06/240vs HOU06/250vs HOU06/260vs HOU06/271vs HOU06/282@ NYY06/301@ NYY07/010@ TEX07/021@ TEX07/041@ TEX07/050vs OAK07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
PrizePicks0.5-137-137
DK Pick60.5-137
Betr Picks0.5-137
dabble_us_dfs0.5+117-116

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.59:38 AM ET11:15 AM ET
PrizePicksBetr Picksdabble_us_dfsDK Pick6

League vs OAK Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Kevin McGonigle DET07/071
Spencer Torkelson DET07/071
Colt Keith DET07/071
Matt Vierling DET07/071
Zach McKinstry DET07/071
James Outman DET07/070
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/052
Jakob Marsee MIA07/052
Otto Lopez MIA07/052
Leo Jiménez MIA07/051
Brian Navarreto MIA07/051
Esteury Ruiz MIA07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.563.583.500.321.744.474.406.700.833
Exit Velo
93.3789.0885.6297.2696.4789.1886.2499.3099.47
AVG
.313.278.250.214.410.368.219.500.556
onBasePercentage
.313.278.250.207.400.368.219.484.556
OPS
.875.861.750.5171.125.842.6251.1611.389