Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Riley Greene

Detroit Tigers · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.23
Edge
+7.3%
Trending splitsNight 78%(40)
Last 20
50%10/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
0.5
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
63%
5/8
Avg0.82
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Riley Greene clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Dillon Dingler o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 61% · n=141 · -253 DraftKings
Hao-Yu Lee o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 51% · n=34 · -157 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ MIL04/162vs SD04/230@ TOR05/170vs CLE05/252@ KC06/011vs CIN06/152vs PIT06/190vs OAK06/260vs HOU08/202vs NYM09/010vs ATL09/200@ BOS09/273vs KC04/161@ BOS04/191vs TOR05/160vs CLE05/210@ BAL05/241@ CWS05/301@ CLE06/130vs CWS06/200.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-209+156

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs OAK Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Zach McKinstry DET07/072
Kevin McGonigle DET07/072
Colt Keith DET07/071
Matt Vierling DET07/071
Spencer Torkelson DET07/071
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
James Outman DET07/070
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/053
Otto Lopez MIA07/053
Liam Hicks MIA07/052
Brian Navarreto MIA07/052
Xavier Edwards MIA07/052
Leo Jiménez MIA07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.313.278.267.207.400.368.219.484.588
Exit Velo
93.3789.0886.1997.2696.4789.1886.2499.3099.47
sluggingPercentage
.563.583.533.321.744.474.406.700.882
AVG
.313.278.267.214.410.368.219.500.588
OPS
.875.861.800.5171.125.842.6251.1611.471