Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.79
Edge
+9.3%All 169 games
44%75/169 over 1.5
Window avg
1.68
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
24%
4/17
Avg1.68
StreakW1
Parlay pairs — when Yainer Diaz clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Jose Altuve o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 70% · n=134 · -240 DraftKings
Zach Dezenzo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 60% · n=21 · -165 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 169 games vs 1.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs WSH — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Jose Altuve HOU | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Nick Allen HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Christian Vázquez HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Christian Walker HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Isaac Paredes HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Zach Dezenzo HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Yordan Alvarez HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cam Smith HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/06 | 5 | ✓ |
| Jose Altuve HOU | 07/06 | 4 | ✓ |
| Christian Walker HOU | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Braden Shewmake HOU | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Cam Smith HOU | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
onBasePercentage