Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Yainer Diaz

Houston Astros · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.79
Edge
+9.3%
Last 20
55%11/20 over 1.5
Window avg
2.10
Median
2.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
54%
7/13
Avg1.58
StreakW2

Parlay pairs — when Yainer Diaz clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Jose Altuve o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 70% · n=134 · -240 DraftKings
Zach Dezenzo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 60% · n=21 · -165 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

away only · official box scores
4@ TOR09/096@ TOR09/103@ ATL09/131@ OAK09/230@ OAK09/244@ LAA09/261@ LAA09/273@ OAK04/031@ COL04/060@ COL04/070@ SEA04/111@ CLE04/202@ CLE04/213@ BAL04/282@ BAL04/303@ BOS05/010@ TOR06/221@ TOR06/242@ DET06/265@ WSH07/061.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+133-177
Bovada1.5+135-180

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs WSH Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Jose Altuve HOU07/074
Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Christian Vázquez HOU07/071
Isaac Paredes HOU07/071
Christian Walker HOU07/071
Nick Allen HOU07/071
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Zach Dezenzo HOU07/070
Brice Matthews HOU07/065
Jose Altuve HOU07/064
Braden Shewmake HOU07/063
Christian Walker HOU07/063
Cam Smith HOU07/062

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
77.9794.7491.0386.4994.6391.0991.0991.2387.06
sluggingPercentage
.250.667.818.417.444.400.333.308.300
AVG
.250.500.273.167.333.300.333.231.300
OPS
.5001.1671.091.583.737.700.667.538.545
onBasePercentage
.250.500.273.167.316.300.333.231.273