Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Yainer Diaz

Houston Astros · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.56
Edge
+6.3%
All 104 games
35%36/104 over 0.5
Window avg
0.39
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
36%
4/11
Avg0.39
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1.313.50016.7%
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.219.53125.0%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.154.15425.0%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8.100.10019.2%
Changeup
10.4%
82.4.235.35315.4%
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.323.48417.6%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2.000.00037.5%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Yainer Diaz clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Cam Smith o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 55% · n=52 · -175 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredall 104 games vs 0.5

official box scores
2@ LAD07/060@ SEA07/202@ AZ07/230vs OAK07/271vs WSH07/300@ BOS08/020@ BOS08/030@ MIA08/060@ NYY08/090vs BAL08/171@ DET08/200@ BAL08/240vs LAA08/311vs LAA09/010@ TEX09/070@ TOR09/110@ ATL09/140@ OAK09/251@ LAA09/280vs LAA03/261@ OAK04/040@ OAK04/051@ SEA04/120@ SEA04/130vs STL04/190@ BAL04/300@ BOS05/021@ TOR06/232@ DET06/270@ DET06/280.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5+174-172

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs WSH Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Christian Walker HOU07/072
Zach Dezenzo HOU07/072
Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Jose Altuve HOU07/071
Isaac Paredes HOU07/070
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Nick Allen HOU07/070
Christian Vázquez HOU07/070
Braden Shewmake HOU07/062
Cam Smith HOU07/062
Brice Matthews HOU07/062
LaMonte Wade Jr. HOU07/061
Jose Altuve HOU07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.250.500.273.167.333.300.333.231.300
Exit Velo
77.9794.7491.0386.4994.6391.0991.0991.2387.06
onBasePercentage
.250.500.273.167.316.300.333.231.273
sluggingPercentage
.250.667.818.417.444.400.333.308.300
OPS
.5001.1671.091.583.737.700.667.538.545