Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Yainer Diaz

Houston Astros · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.61
Edge
Last 5
20%1/5 over 1.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
21%
8/39
Avg0.69
StreakL3

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1.313.50016.7%
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.219.53125.0%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.154.15425.0%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8.100.10019.2%
Changeup
10.4%
82.4.235.35315.4%
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.323.48417.6%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2.000.00037.5%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Yainer Diaz clears 0.5 Batter Strikeouts, these hit too

Spencer Arrighetti o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 65% · base 59% · n=20 · -109 dabble_us_dfs
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Batter Strikeouts
hits when he does 63% · base 56% · n=64

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Batter Strikeoutslast 5 vs 1.5

official box scores
0vs MIN06/303vs MIN07/010vs TB07/030vs TB07/040@ WSH07/061.5

Tonight's odds — Batter Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
Betr Picks0.5-137

Line movement — Batter Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs WSH Batter Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Isaac Paredes HOU07/072
Jose Altuve HOU07/071
Christian Vázquez HOU07/071
Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Zach Dezenzo HOU07/071
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/071
Nick Allen HOU07/071
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Christian Walker HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/062
Brice Matthews HOU07/061
Isaac Paredes HOU07/061
Jose Altuve HOU07/061
LaMonte Wade Jr. HOU07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.250.500.273.167.333.300.333.231.300
Exit Velo
77.9794.7491.0386.4994.6391.0991.0991.2387.06
onBasePercentage
.250.500.273.167.316.300.333.231.273
sluggingPercentage
.250.667.818.417.444.400.333.308.300
OPS
.5001.1671.091.583.737.700.667.538.545