Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.21
Edge
+6.0%Last 30
17%5/30 over 0.5
Window avg
0.17
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
21%
5/24
Avg0.15
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 32.1% | 88.1 | .313 | .500 | 16.7% |
| Four-seam FB | 17.1% | 91.5 | .219 | .531 | 25.0% |
| Sweeper | 14.5% | 79.8 | .154 | .154 | 25.0% |
| Curveball | 10.5% | 77.8 | .100 | .100 | 19.2% |
| Changeup | 10.4% | 82.4 | .235 | .353 | 15.4% |
| Sinker | 10.3% | 91.2 | .323 | .484 | 17.6% |
| Splitter | 5.1% | 81.2 | .000 | .000 | 37.5% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Yainer Diaz clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Jose Altuve o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 70% · n=37 · -227 dabble_us_dfs
Christian Walker o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 60% · n=23 · -182 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — last 30 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +662 | -625 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs WSH — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Jose Altuve HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Zach Dezenzo HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Christian Vázquez HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Isaac Paredes HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cam Smith HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Christian Walker HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nick Allen HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Yordan Alvarez HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jose Altuve HOU | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Yordan Alvarez HOU | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Braden Shewmake HOU | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cam Smith HOU | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS