Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Yainer Diaz

Houston Astros · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.02
Edge
-1.4%
Last 20
45%5/11 over 1 · 9 push
Window avg
0.95
Median
1.0
L5
33%
1/3
L10
33%
2/6
L20
45%
5/11
2026
43%
6/14
Avg1.03
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1.313.50016.7%
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.219.53125.0%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.154.15425.0%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8.100.10019.2%
Changeup
10.4%
82.4.235.35315.4%
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.323.48417.6%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2.000.00037.5%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Yainer Diaz clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Christian Walker o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 60% · n=114 · -182 dabble_us_dfs
Zach Dezenzo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 60% · n=34 · -143 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 1

official box scores
0@ SEA04/111@ SEA04/121@ SEA04/130vs COL04/161@ CLE04/202vs NYY04/242@ BAL04/281@ BAL04/302@ BAL04/301vs CLE06/190@ TOR06/222@ TOR06/231@ TOR06/241@ DET06/260@ DET06/281vs MIN06/300vs MIN07/010vs TB07/031vs TB07/042@ WSH07/061

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-230+171
dabble_us_dfs0.5-196+199

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs WSH Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Nick Allen HOU07/071
Jose Altuve HOU07/071
Isaac Paredes HOU07/071
Christian Walker HOU07/071
Christian Vázquez HOU07/071
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Zach Dezenzo HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Brice Matthews HOU07/062
Braden Shewmake HOU07/062
Cam Smith HOU07/062
Christian Walker HOU07/062
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.250.500.273.167.333.300.333.231.300
Exit Velo
77.9794.7491.0386.4994.6391.0991.0991.2387.06
onBasePercentage
.250.500.273.167.316.300.333.231.273
sluggingPercentage
.250.667.818.417.444.400.333.308.300
OPS
.5001.1671.091.583.737.700.667.538.545