Yainer Diaz

Houston Astros · C · Bats R

Tonight's line

0.5

Model proj

0.18

Edge

—

Batter Strikeouts Hits Hits + Runs + RBIs Home Runs RBIs Runs Scored Stolen Bases Total Bases Walks

Last20

Trending splits

Last 20

5%1/20 over 0.5

Window avg

0.05

Median

0.0

0/5

L10

0/10

L20

1/20

2026

0/8

Avg0.07

StreakL13

Home Runs — last 20 vs 0.5

home only · official box scores

Parlay pairs — when Yainer Diaz clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too

Jose Altuve o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 76% · base 69% · n=37 · -263 BetOnline

Christian Walker o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 65% · base 60% · n=23 · -233 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

0.5

• = main line. Alt ladders load in the hour before first pitch.

Book	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Caesars	+575	—

Home Runs · best price bolded · odds refresh every poll

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Caesars

Time	Book	Move
8:00 AM ET	Caesars	0.5 → 1.5
8:00 AM ET	Caesars	1.5 → 0.5
5:00 AM ET	Caesars	0.5 → 1.5

League vs TEX — Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Denzer Guzman LAA

07/09

Diaz's hitting zones (batter data)

Where he produces at the plate — official MLB hot/cold zones from his own at-bats, catcher's view, red hot / blue cold. Compare against the opposing pitcher's arsenal above: a fastball-heavy righty living up-and-in is a problem if that zone runs cold.

Advantage: hits .500 up · Weakness: .167 middle-and-in

Exit Velo

sluggingPercentage

AVG

OPS

onBasePercentage